Friday, November 12, 2004

More election links

As anyone who's been reading progressive boards on the net knows, there's been a lot of speculation flying around about whether there were widespread voting errors or fraud in this past election; I thought I'd provide some links for people who want to read more about the topic.

While many of these articles are official media reports, some are from individual bloggers, academics, or independent writers; I've organized them roughly by type (though a few are hard to identify).

Articles from major US media sources:
  • Vote counting errors found in New York - A democratic candidate for state senate from Yonkers initially was reported to have lost by 1,674 votes, but after recounting the margin shurnk to only 128 votes. "Jonathan Rosen, director of the state Democrats' campaign committee, said the recount had revealed "a highly unusual error rate."" (WNBC - article 1, article 2)

  • Sarpy County (Nebraska) found evidence of overvoting in 32 of 80 precincts, for a total of around 10,000 excess votes (first WOWT article). After a recount, 3,000 "phantom votes" were found (second WOWT article).

  • Warren County (Ohio) Defends Lockdown Decision - In Warren County, officials prevented media and other people from overseeing the vote counting (reported here), citing security concerns. A followup article in the Cincinati Enquirer reports that FBI and Homeland Security officials say that they never informed the county of any specific threats.

  • Exit Polls to Protect the Vote - A New York Times article written before the election discussing the use of exit polling in fraud detection.

  • Florida E-Vote Fraud? Unlikely - An article discussing Kathy Dopp's dataset, citing academic sources who say it doesn't prove fraud, by Wired News.

  • Worst Voter Error Is Apathy Toward Irregularities - a column in the Washington Post.

  • See my earlier post for a few additional articles.
Articles from other sources:
  • The Unexplained Exit Poll Discrepancy - a well-written draft academic paper (PDF) by Steven Freeman, discussing the general accuracy of exit polling, as well as detailing and statistically analyzing discrepancies between exit polls and actual results in Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. This is probably the most thoughtful exit poll analysis I've read.

  • Odds of Bush gaining by 4 percent in all exit polling states 1 in 50,000 - The Blue Lemur

  • reports that they have acquired "two Ciber certification reports [for electronic voting machines] indicating that security and tamperability was not tested and that several state elections directors, a secretary of state, and computer consultant Dr. Britain Williams signed off on the report anyway, certifying it." (posted Nov 7th on their homepage; I can't find a permalink)

  • Foreign monitors 'barred' from US polls - an article in the Independent Online

  • An analysis of New Hampshire voting data - Invisible Ida

  • An analysis of New Hampshire results using Benford's Law -

  • Kerry Won - An analysis of data from Ohio -

  • Twelve ways Bush is now stealing the Ohio vote - written before the election, by The Free Press

  • Problems with Ohio vote tallying early in the election -

  • Errors plague voting process in Ohio, PA. - an article on

  • On The Front Lines in Florida - an essay discussing voting problems in Broward County, FL.

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